Market Intelligence

Signals. Strategy.
200-Week Precision.

Deep research on the indicator Charlie Munger called the most powerful line in markets.

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Education

Articles

Dividend investing generates more tribal loyalty than almost any other strategy in personal finance. On one side, a large and vocal community of income investors insists that dividends represent the real, tangible return on ownership, that companies paying reliable and…

Matt Denney · Apr 26, 2026 · 13 min read
SPY · 20Y · Yahoo Finance weekly data
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Almanac

What we learned the week BBY hit its 200-week SMA in 2016.

BBY touched its 200-week line in 2016. Twelve months later: +97.5%.

May 31, 2026 · 1 min read Read →
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Education

Ergodicity: The Math Concept That Explains Why You Can’t Average Bad Outcomes

Most return calculations lie to you by averaging across investors instead of through time. Understanding ergodicity reveals why volatility kills wealth, and how to size accordingly.

May 29, 2026 · 13 min read Read →
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Market Analysis

High Multiples Don’t Equal a Bubble (And What Actually Does)

A high P/E ratio makes markets expensive, not necessarily bubble territory. Learn the real markers — leverage, narrative dominance, and issuance frenzy — that separate overvaluation from speculative collapse.

May 27, 2026 · 13 min read Read →
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Market News

Rate Cuts and Equity Returns: The Relationship Is Messier Than CNBC Suggests

The Fed cuts rates and stocks rise, right? Not always. The historical record shows the outcome depends almost entirely on why rates are being cut, not that they are.

May 25, 2026 · 13 min read Read →
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Almanac

What we learned the week NVDA hit its 200-week SMA in 2019.

NVDA touched its 200-week line in 2019. Twelve months later: +162.1%.

May 24, 2026 · 1 min read Read →
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Market Analysis

Which Equity Sectors Actually Pass Inflation Through to Earnings

Not every sector that rises in an inflation narrative actually protects your earnings. Here's the sector-by-sector evidence on pricing power, and why the story often misleads.

May 22, 2026 · 12 min read Read →
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Deep Dive

Berkshire Without Buffett: What the Operating Engine Actually Looks Like

Buffett is gone from the CEO seat. What remains is an insurance float machine, two capital-intensive giants, and dozens of durable subsidiaries. Here's what Greg Abel actually inherited.

May 20, 2026 · 12 min read Read →
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Deep Dive

Factor Investing: Where the Premia Are Real and Where They’re Overfit

Not all factors are created equal. Discover which premia have survived out-of-sample scrutiny, which are likely data mining artifacts, and what it truly costs to capture them.

May 18, 2026 · 13 min read Read →
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Almanac

UAL touched its line in May 2016. Here’s what happened next.

UAL touched its 200-week line in 2016. Twelve months later: +74.3%.

May 17, 2026 · 1 min read Read →
Education · Coming Soon
How to Read the 200-Week SMA: A Complete Beginner's Guide
Publishing May 2026 · Estimated 10 min read